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Tough Call, Softer Blow: Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates to 4% Amid Economic Crosswinds

6 months ago
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Tough Call, Softer Blow: Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates to 4% Amid Economic Crosswinds
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Published: 07th August 2025 | The English Chronicle Desk

In a delicately poised move reflecting the fragile state of the UK economy, the Bank of England has cut interest rates from 4.25% to 4%, the lowest level since March 2023. The finely balanced decision, announced following a closely contested vote within the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, underscores growing concerns over inflationary pressure, stagnant growth, and consumer hardship.

Governor Andrew Bailey acknowledged the delicate nature of the rate cut, stating that while the trajectory for interest rates remains downward, “any future rate cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully.” The Bank’s latest Monetary Policy Report reveals that inflation is now projected to peak at 4% in September—double the Bank’s long-term target of 2% and slightly above the 3.8% previously forecast in May.

The Monetary Policy Committee, comprising nine members, found itself starkly divided: four supported the cut, another four advocated maintaining the current rate, and one member, Alan Taylor, called for a more aggressive reduction. This internal division signals just how complex the economic landscape has become in the post-pandemic, post-Brexit environment.

Business input played a significant role in shaping the Bank’s latest decision. Firms reported that hikes in National Insurance Contributions and an increase in the national living wage since April have contributed an estimated 2% rise in food prices alone. These pressures are compounded by adverse global weather events, which have driven up the costs of staples such as beef, coffee beans, and cocoa.

Companies also expressed concern that wage-related inflationary pressures would persist into the second half of the year, exacerbated by new packaging regulations and continuing labour shortages. To offset these rising costs, many businesses said they had been forced to reduce staff or shift towards lower-cost production strategies. Consumers, in turn, have responded by tightening their belts—opting for supermarket own-label goods instead of branded items, switching to cheaper cuts of meat, and bulk-buying staple foods.

For borrowers, the 0.25% rate cut brings some immediate relief. Holders of tracker mortgages—of which there are approximately 600,000 in the UK—will see an immediate reduction in monthly repayments. Financial data firm Moneyfacts estimates that repayments on a typical £250,000 standard variable rate mortgage over 25 years will fall by around £40 per month. However, the benefits are unevenly distributed. Many homeowners currently refinancing face significantly higher rates compared to previous deals.

One such case is that of Adam Christie, who recently moved from a five-year fixed rate mortgage at 1.8% to a two-year fix at 3.8%. Although the increase was less than he feared, his monthly payments still rose by £100—a noticeable impact during a time of widespread financial strain. “We are still a little bit anxious about the future and what it might hold,” Christie told the BBC. “They might go up again… but I suppose only time can tell.”

Chancellor Rachel Reeves welcomed the Bank’s decision, hailing it as a positive development for struggling households and businesses. “The rate cut is welcome news, helping bring down the cost of mortgages and loans for families and businesses,” she said. Yet political rivals were quick to criticise. Shadow chancellor Mel Stride argued that interest rates “should be falling faster,” claiming the slow pace of change reflects a “weak economy Rachel Reeves has created.” Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson Daisy Cooper echoed the sentiment, blaming government policy for acting as “a roadblock to growth” that delayed the rate reduction.

Amid the political crossfire, the Bank of England is also battling deteriorating growth forecasts. The central bank now expects GDP for the April–June quarter—figures set to be released next week—to show sluggish growth of just 0.1%. However, it maintains that economic momentum may pick up later in the year, partly due to the UK’s trade deal with the United States, which is expected to bolster exports and industrial activity.

As the Bank navigates the difficult terrain of elevated inflation and tepid growth, its cautious stance suggests that further easing will be measured rather than rapid. Households, businesses, and markets will now watch closely to see whether this initial cut marks the beginning of a sustained easing cycle or merely a brief pause in an otherwise constrained monetary policy environment.

For now, with interest rates at a 29-month low and inflation still double the target, the Bank of England walks a tightrope—balancing its dual mandate to support economic stability while containing price rises that continue to squeeze British wallets.

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