Published: 19 September 2026. The English Chronicle Desk. The English Chronicle Online.
More than 1.1 million low-income families living in rented accommodation could face increasing financial pressure unless the UK government takes action to address a growing gap between housing support and actual private rents, according to a warning from the Resolution Foundation.
The thinktank has called on the government to reconsider the freeze on Local Housing Allowance, saying the policy is leaving many households struggling to meet rental costs as prices continue to rise. The warning comes ahead of the government’s next budget, when decisions on welfare and housing support are expected to receive close attention.
Local Housing Allowance, commonly known as LHA, determines the level of housing support available to eligible tenants in the private rented sector. The allowance has been frozen in cash terms since autumn 2024, while rents have continued to increase across much of the country. The result, according to the Resolution Foundation, is a widening difference between the amount of support available to families and the cost of renting a suitable home.
The organisation’s latest analysis suggests that a low-income family renting a typical two-bedroom property now faces an average weekly shortfall of around £158 between the rent it is expected to pay and the amount covered by housing support. In some parts of London, the gap is more than £300 a week, creating a substantially heavier burden for households already operating on limited incomes.
The figures illustrate the growing difficulty facing families who depend on housing assistance while living in areas where private rents have risen considerably. When housing costs consume a larger share of household income, families may have less money available for food, heating, transport and other essential expenses.
The Resolution Foundation has argued that the government should restore the previous system of linking LHA rates to local rental conditions. Under such an approach, housing support would adjust more closely to changes in rents rather than remaining fixed for extended periods.
Stephen Hunsaker, an economist at the Resolution Foundation, said the gap between average rents and LHA rates was expected to reach a record level in October. He warned that failing to reconnect the allowance with actual rental costs could effectively extend the current freeze for another year and allow the gap to become even larger by 2028.
The organisation estimates that restoring the link between LHA and local rents would eventually cost about £2 billion a year by the end of the current parliament in 2029-30. It has proposed financing the measure by changing the rate at which Universal Credit is withdrawn as recipients’ earnings increase.
The proposal reflects a broader debate over how limited welfare resources should be distributed. Rather than increasing overall spending without an offsetting measure, the Resolution Foundation argues that changing the Universal Credit taper could redirect support towards households facing the greatest housing pressures.
The issue has attracted attention from charities and organisations working with low-income households and people at risk of homelessness. Groups including Crisis, the Joseph Rowntree Foundation and Citizens Advice have previously called for the connection between housing support and rental conditions to be restored.
The pressure on renters has intensified as private rents have risen in recent years. Although rental markets vary considerably between regions, the national trend has created particular challenges for households whose incomes have not increased at the same pace as housing costs.
The problem is especially significant for families receiving housing support because the allowance is intended to contribute towards the cost of private accommodation. When the support level falls behind prevailing rents, recipients must cover the difference from other sources of income.
For households with relatively high earnings, such a gap may be manageable. For families already dependent on Universal Credit or other forms of assistance, however, even a modest additional housing payment can affect their ability to meet other basic needs.
Survey evidence cited by the Resolution Foundation indicates the extent of those pressures. It found that around one in five working-age adults in families receiving housing support while renting privately were unable to afford to keep their homes adequately warm. Around one in eight were unable to afford three meals a day.
Such figures underline the connection between housing affordability and wider living standards. Rising rents do not simply affect accommodation choices. They can also influence household spending on food, energy, clothing, transport and other necessities.
The history of Local Housing Allowance also provides context for the current debate. The system was introduced in 2008 with rates initially linked to the median level of local rents. That approach was changed in 2011, when the calculation was reduced to the 30th percentile of local rents.
Since then, LHA rates have been frozen for nine of the past 14 years, according to the Resolution Foundation. The repeated periods of frozen support have meant that changes in rental markets have not always been reflected in the level of assistance available to tenants.
The foundation rejects the argument that increasing LHA in line with rents would primarily benefit landlords by allowing them to raise prices. Its analysis of previous changes suggests that around 90 pence of every additional pound of housing support tends to benefit tenants rather than being absorbed through higher rents.
That finding is significant because the possible effect on landlords and rental prices is an important part of the policy debate. Critics of increasing housing allowances have sometimes argued that additional public support could push rents higher in areas where properties are already in short supply.
The Resolution Foundation’s analysis presents a different interpretation, suggesting that most of the additional assistance would reach households that need help meeting their housing costs.
The government faces a wider set of financial pressures as it prepares for the budget scheduled for 28 October. Ministers have pledged to provide households with greater financial breathing space, but inflation and interest rates remain important considerations for public finances and household budgets.
Any decision to increase housing support would therefore need to be considered alongside other spending commitments and welfare policies.
A government spokesperson said Local Housing Allowance rates are reviewed annually and that future decisions would be made in the context of the government’s welfare priorities and the broader fiscal situation.
The statement leaves open the question of whether ministers will restore the link between housing support and local rents in the upcoming budget. For low-income renters, however, the issue is becoming increasingly urgent as the gap between available assistance and actual rental costs continues to widen.
The debate also reflects a broader challenge facing the UK housing market: the difficulty of ensuring that people on lower incomes can secure stable accommodation in an environment of rising rents and limited supply.
Housing advocates argue that keeping support aligned with rental conditions can help prevent households from falling into arrears, being forced to move repeatedly or facing homelessness. Government officials, meanwhile, must weigh those considerations against the cost of expanding welfare support and competing demands on public spending.
For families already struggling to balance rent, food and energy bills, the outcome of the government’s decision could have a direct effect on their household finances. A policy change may provide greater support, while continued freezing of allowances could leave more renters responsible for covering increasingly large differences between housing costs and available assistance.
As the October budget approaches, the future of Local Housing Allowance is therefore emerging as an important issue in the wider discussion about living costs, welfare policy and housing affordability across the UK.



























































































